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Adding Bayesian Ensemble + Monte Carlo to an NPB Prediction System

Adding Bayesian Ensemble + Monte Carlo to an NPB Prediction System

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4 min read
NPB 2021 Backtest: Could a Bayesian Model Predict Last-Place-to-Champion?

NPB 2021 Backtest: Could a Bayesian Model Predict Last-Place-to-Champion?

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3 min read
Adding Bayesian Ensemble + Monte Carlo to an NPB Prediction App

Adding Bayesian Ensemble + Monte Carlo to an NPB Prediction App

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4 min read
Detailed commentary to every line

Detailed commentary to every line

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1 min read
Update: Refining the Base Running Logic for a 'Base on Balls' (Walk)

Update: Refining the Base Running Logic for a 'Base on Balls' (Walk)

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1 min read
Park Factors, OAA, and Stuff+ in One Line of Python (savant-extras v0.3.2–v0.4.1)

Park Factors, OAA, and Stuff+ in One Line of Python (savant-extras v0.3.2–v0.4.1)

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3 min read
Moving an NPB Prediction System to BigQuery — BQML and Cloud Run on the Free Tier

Moving an NPB Prediction System to BigQuery — BQML and Cloud Run on the Free Tier

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5 min read
I Built a WBC Quarterfinal Scouting App with MLB Statcast Data

I Built a WBC Quarterfinal Scouting App with MLB Statcast Data

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4 min read
Optimizing Marcel Projection Weights for NPB — Grid Search + Bootstrap Validation

Optimizing Marcel Projection Weights for NPB — Grid Search + Bootstrap Validation

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3 min read
Can Statcast Data Improve MLB Player Performance Predictions? — Beating Marcel with LightGBM

Can Statcast Data Improve MLB Player Performance Predictions? — Beating Marcel with LightGBM

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4 min read
Did Adding Stadium Correction Improve My NPB Baseball Predictions? — A Full Backtest Comparison

Did Adding Stadium Correction Improve My NPB Baseball Predictions? — A Full Backtest Comparison

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4 min read
I Calculated NPB Park Factors for 10 Years — Stadium Renovations Revealed

I Calculated NPB Park Factors for 10 Years — Stadium Renovations Revealed

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7 min read
I Added Park Factor Correction to My NPB Bayesian Prediction Model — Backtest Validation & 2026 Forecast

I Added Park Factor Correction to My NPB Bayesian Prediction Model — Backtest Validation & 2026 Forecast

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5 min read
Did Bayesian Projection (Stan/Ridge) Predict the 2021 NPB Last-to-First Upsets?

Did Bayesian Projection (Stan/Ridge) Predict the 2021 NPB Last-to-First Upsets?

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5 min read
Beyond Marcel: Adding Bayesian Regression to NPB Baseball Predictions — A 15-Step Journey

Beyond Marcel: Adding Bayesian Regression to NPB Baseball Predictions — A 15-Step Journey

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5 min read
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